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EmergingFrontierMarkets.comemerging and frontier markets:the unofficial field guideSite
Owner / Publisher: Sta.
Romana, Leonardo L.
Based in: Manila,
Philippines;
and Southeast Asia
Posted on Sat, 26 Feb
2022: SWIFT banking system could be used as sanction against Russia. What is it?, NBC News, 25 Feb 22: Pres Biden stopped short of announcing that the US and its allies would impose a harsh financial penalty--kicking Russia out of the SWIFT banking system. Some financial analysts have likened the sanction, which would be an unprecedented move against one of the world's largest economies, as a "nuclear option"
Lowcock: What aid agency leaders should worry about on climate finance, Ctr Global Devt (blog), 22 Nov 21: One of my overwhelming preoccupations over the last 10 years as a chief exec of intl aid orgs, 1st as permanent secretary of the UK's Dept for Intl Devt and then as head of the UN's humanitarian affairs, has been that there was never enough money, even when budgets were growing, writes Ctr distinguished fellow
Posted on Sat, 12 Feb
2022: Schott: Will tough US sanctions deter Russian aggression in Ukraine?, Peterson Inst (blog), 01 Feb 22: The Biden admin has warned Russia that military intervention would be met with strong econ sanctions--not simply the blocking of Russia's gas exports through the new Nord Stream 2 pipeline but also stringent export controls denying Russia access to high tech goods from US and other nations, writes Inst senior fellow
Virdee and Hughes: Why did nobody see it coming? How scenarios can help us prepare for the future in an uncertain world, RAND (blog), 28 Jan 22: Several months after the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the start of the global financial crisis in 2008, it was reported that Queen Elizabeth caught economists at the London Sch Economics off guard with a simple question: "Why did nobody see it coming?", write researchers at RAND Ctr for Futures & Foresight Studies
For Valentine's Day, a good night's sleep may be the best gift, RAND (blog), 11 Feb 22 Posted on Sat, 29 Jan
2022:
Afghanistan -- Inability to transfer aid
funding puts millions at risk, Norwegian Refugee Council, 27
Jan 22:
A new report analyzes existing payment routes for aid funding, and reveals that none meet the basic criteria of being sufficiently safe, scalable and cost-effective to meet humanitarian needs. Worse still, these financial mechanisms are almost entirely inaccessible to local aid organizations and Afghans themselves
Prasad:
China needs a new growth model, but
that requires serious reform, FT, 20 Jan 22 [pdf, courtesy Author's
site]:
The
real estate sector encapsulates the challenges Beijing faces. Some
property developers such as Evergrande recklessly undertook debt -
financed development while many households have borrowed to finance
purchases of multiple properties for speculative purposes, writes
Cornell U economist
Posted on Sun, 16 Jan
2022:
Expect more worrisome variants
after omicron, scientists say, AP, 15 Jan 22:
Get ready to learn more Greek letters. Scientists warn that omicron's whirlwind advance practically ensures it won't be the last version. Omicron has an edge over its predecessors: It spreads way faster despite emerging on a planet with a stronger patchwork of immunity from vaccines and prior illness
Top geopolitical risks for 2022,
Eurasia Group, 03 Jan 22:
While the inward turn of the two most powerful nations -- US and China -- lowers the odds of war, it also means less global leadership and coordination to respond to the world's challenges. Global neglect will allow looming crises in Iran and Ukraine to become more combustible
Bown: Semiconductors and pandemic resilience,
World Trade Org, Nov '21:
One unsung pandemic-era hero was the mighty semiconductor. Millions were lucky to suddenly be able to work, school, or get healthcare from home. All those laptops, smartphones, medical devices and data servers needed chips. People could not travel, but open trade meant semiconductors could, writes Peterson Inst senior fellow
Posted on Sat, 01 Jan
2022:
Ngaire
Woods: The key to the Covid-powered challenges of 2022,
Project Syndicate, 22 Dec 21 [via Irish Examiner]:
After a year in which people longed to get back to 'normal', it is now clear that Covid-19 will not make this possible. The pandemic, now heading into its 3rd year, has profoundly affected individuals, communities, and nations, creating four tough challenges for 2022, writes Oxford U’s Blavatnik Sch Govt dean World's richest people now own 11% of global wealth, marking the biggest leap in recent history, Fortune, 08 Dec 21: In '21, billionaires saw the steepest increase in their share of wealth on record, acc to the 2022 World Inequality Report. The jump comes as govts around the world poured money into their economies to mitigate the econ pain created by pandemic shutdowns. But that also boosted stock prices and real estate values
Michael Spence: Lessons from digital India, Project Syndicate, 29 Nov 21 [via Jordan Times]: Over the past five years, India's mobile-internet and digital-services ecosystem has grown rapidly, owing to the pioneering efforts of large private-sector players. Although this industry-led growth is somewhat unusual, it offers a model that could benefit other developing countries, writes Nobel Laureate '01 Turkish lira on track for worst year in two decades under Erdogan, Reuters, 31 Dec 21 [via Business Recorder/ India]: The lira - by far the worst performer in emerging markets in '21, as it was in previous years - is on a 5-day skid. The currency has whipsawed from 18.4 to 10.25 vs the dollar in the last 2 weeks alone, and is set to log its worst year since 2001, when the IMF lent support to stem a crisis. It stood at 13.36 on 31 Dec
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